THE FACTS — Tuesday night, Oct 13 · 2026 · Delaware Blue Hens -1.5, total 48.5 · rest Delaware Blue Hens 11 days, Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 10 days
1. The line
DraftKings (via ESPN) has Delaware Blue Hens -1.5 with a total of 48.5. The number has it at Delaware Blue Hens 25–23.5. The line has changed 4 times since first recorded today.
2. This season
- Delaware Blue Hens: 2-3 this season; last 10 played 4-6 (5-5 against the spread).
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 2-3 this season; last 10 played 4-6 (5-4 against the spread).
3. The series (regular season, 2025)
- Delaware Blue Hens vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 1-0 straight up (n = 1), 0-1 against the spread, 1-0 to the over. Delaware Blue Hens at Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: 0-0. Last 10: 1-0.
- 2025-10-22: DEL 31-28 MTSU (total 59 vs 55.5)
4. The exact spot
- Delaware Blue Hens on the road as the favorite laying/getting 0.5-3 in conference games since 2024: fewer than 5 games — no split to report.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at home as the underdog laying/getting 0.5-3 in conference games since 2024: fewer than 5 games — no split to report.
5. Live trends — both teams, the whole search disclosed
How to read this: n is the number of games in the sample. p is the chance a record at least this lopsided shows up by luck alone against the league rate: under 0.05 is rare, above it is what luck produces all the time. When many spots are searched, some will look rare by chance, so a p-value has to survive a correction for how many were searched before it means anything. 18 splits were scanned per team over 2024-2026 with a floor of 5 games. 13 cleared the floor for Delaware Blue Hens and 12 for Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders. With 36 searched, about 1.8 would cross p = 0.05 by chance; the smallest p found was 0.169, which becomes 1 after correction — so the side splits are noise. Splits that describe this game's spot are listed first.
Delaware Blue Hens
- on the road since 2024: 4-8 ATS (33.3%) vs 48.6% league, p = 0.39 — fits this game
- on the road as the favorite since 2024: 2-4 ATS (33.3%) vs 49.3% league, p = 0.688 — fits this game
- in conference games since 2024: 7-9-1 ATS (43.8%) vs 50% league, p = 0.804 — fits this game
- as the favorite since 2024: 9-9-1 ATS (50%) vs 50.9% league, p = 1 — fits this game
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
- at home since 2024: 4-9 ATS (30.8%) vs 51.4% league, p = 0.169 — fits this game
- under the current head coach since 2024: 10-17 ATS (37%) vs 50% league, p = 0.248 — fits this game
- in conference games since 2024: 5-10 ATS (33.3%) vs 50% league, p = 0.302 — fits this game
- at home as the underdog since 2024: 2-4 ATS (33.3%) vs 50.7% league, p = 0.447 — fits this game
Against the closing number. From a scan of 159 situational angles over 6,548 college football games (2019–2026); only the spots that held in both halves of the sample are listed, with the scan's record for each. A record is not a reason.
- No spot that held fits this game.
6. Coaches and who is out
- Delaware Blue Hens under Ryan Carty (since 2020): 34-20 straight up, 25-28-1 against the spread (47.2% vs 50% league, p = 0.784), 28-26 to the over over 6 seasons (n = 54); the program was 5-7 straight up, 4-7 against the spread in 2014–2019 before him.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders under Derek Mason (since 2024): 8-21 straight up, 10-17 against the spread (37% vs 50% league, p = 0.248), 13-16 to the over over 3 seasons (n = 29); the program was 17-19 straight up, 15-20-1 against the spread in 2021–2023 before him. As a head coach everywhere on file (Vanderbilt Commodores too): 11-41 straight up, 19-31 against the spread over 5 seasons (n = 52).
- Delaware Blue Hens injury report: nobody listed out.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders injury report: nobody listed out. Injury statuses are ESPN's current report and can change before the game.
7. Props that stand out
No player props are posted for this game yet.
8. Totals
- Delaware Blue Hens, 2024 to 2026: 14-14 to the over (50%) against a league rate of 51% (n = 4534), p = 1. Games average 57 against an average closing total of 53.9.
- Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, 2024 to 2026: 13-16 to the over (44.8%) against a league rate of 51% (n = 4534), p = 0.579. Games average 52.1 against an average closing total of 52.7.