Sizzlin Sports is a sports show and a set of statistical models built by two people who got tired of picks with no receipts. We publish the analysis, the methodology, and the track record — including the parts that don’t flatter us.
The Show
Raunchy Sports Comedy. Kasey Orr and Justin Tapp break down the games, the bets, and everything too hot for network TV. Live every Saturday at 9:30 AM PT.
The Hosts
Kasey Orr
Co-host · Models
[Your bio here — a few sentences. Where you're from, how you got into sports and betting, what you handle on the show, anything people would find funny or human.]
Justin Tapp
Co-host
[Justin's bio here — same idea. Ask him for a few sentences in his own voice.]
The Models
Every model here is built from public data and tested the same way: we train it on old seasons, then grade it on seasons it has never seen. If it only works on the data it was built from, it doesn’t ship.
Sizzlin MLB Model
MLBFIP pitcher & matchup edges → Over/Under leans
Sizzlin NFL Model
NFLSituational trends, out-of-sample validated
NCAAF Sizzlin Simulator
NCAAFGame simulator → our highest-graded games each week
Sizzlin CBB Score Predictor
NCAABTempo-free efficiency (KenPom-style) → projected scores
Our Standard
Anyone can show you a 73% record. Take enough situations, slice them enough ways, and a few will look unbeatable purely by chance — we know, because we generated over a hundred thousand betting trends to find out. Hundreds of them cleared 70%. Tested on seasons they hadn’t seen, they collectively returned a loss.
So we hold our own work to the standard we’d want applied to anyone selling us picks. Models get validated out-of-sample or they don’t go behind the paywall. Where a model can’t beat the closing line, we say so on its page and publish the accuracy numbers next to the market’s — even when the market wins.
That’s the whole pitch. Not that we’re never wrong — that we’ll tell you when we are.
The Community
Posting picks, tracking your record, talking trash, and the leaderboard cost nothing and always will. Membership unlocks the full model boards — the community doesn’t need a paywall to be worth showing up to.