What the stats, trends and history actually say about every game — not who to take. Each brief runs ten sections: the line and how it moved, both teams this season, the series, this exact spot, the live trends with their sample sizes and league base rates, the crew, usage and injuries, the underlying numbers, the case against each side, and an honest read that tells you when the history is noise. Every number is traced to a source before it is published; nothing is invented and nothing is cherry-picked.
Ask the Mind
Members can ask the research database anything about an NFL matchup, trend or history — and every number in the answer shows its source.
Week 5 · 15 games
TB@
DALStrongest: Dallas's 37-17-1 over record since 2023 (p 0.009), the only entry flagged unusual · Weakest: the model line of DAL -1. Its record is 180-186-8, and it ignores Mayfield being Out
PHI@
JAXMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
CHI@
GBMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
CIN@
MIAMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
CLE@
NYJMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
HOU@
TENMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
IND@
PITMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
LV@
NEMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
MIN@
NOMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
NYG@
WSHMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
DEN@
LACMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
DET@
ARIMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
SF@
SEAMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
BAL@
ATLMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
BUF@
LARMembers: the full brief — the series, this exact spot, the live trends with base rates, the crew, usage and the case against each side.
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