We simulate every NFL game on opponent-adjusted net EPA — offense and defense on both sides set the projected margin, scoring rates set the total — then post only the handful we have the most conviction in. Every posted game gets a grade and a projected score, and every one is graded against the real result.
Graded games
75.9%
the games we post · B+ or better
Full slate
62.5%
every game · n=1070
Market
67.4%
closing line · it’s better
Margin error
10.5
points, full slate
Accuracy is measured against the actual final score — did we pick the winner, and how many points off was the margin — not against the betting line. Across 2019–2025 the simulator calls 62.5% of all games straight up. The market’s closing line calls 67.4% — the NFL is the most efficient market in sports, so the full slate is worse than the market and we say so. It is a prediction tool, not a betting edge: it does not beat the spread. Analysis and entertainment, 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.
Board went 2-0 · full slate 12-3 straight up
Our 2 highest-conviction calls out of 15 games this week. We post at most 6, and nothing below a B+ — a thin week posts fewer rather than padding the board.
MIA
BUF
14
27
Offense
BUF
Defense
BUF
Called it ✓
MIA
OFF Run-heavy · under-center
Every game we simulated this week, highest conviction first. The board above is only the ones that cleared B+— here’s the whole week so nothing’s hidden.
MIA
OFF Run-heavy · under-center
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
BUF
OFF Run-heavy · under-center
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Malik Willis◄
0.13 EPA/att
Josh Allen
The grade is our conviction in our own call — how big the projected margin is. Here is how each grade actually performed across 2019–2025:
Net EPA — opponent-adjusted expected points added on offense and defense, both sides of the ball — sets the projected margin. Scoring rates set the total. Ratings are computed as of that week’s kickoff, using only games already played, so nothing is graded with hindsight. Early in the season a team carries its prior-year rating until it has enough games to stand on its own.
It does not beat the spread. The NFL market is the sharpest in sports. We publish this because the projection and the matchup are interesting and we grade ourselves honestly against the real score — not because it prints money.
Also on our board
Separate from the simulator: situational trends mined from 1999–2026 seasons and validated out-of-sample. Only the ones that actually hold up.
The Sizzlin NFL Simulator is analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or a guaranteed outcome. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
BUF
OFF Run-heavy · under-center
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Malik Willis◄
0.13 EPA/att
Josh Allen
0.11 EPA/att
De'Von Achane
0.01 EPA/tch
James Cook III◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Malik Washington
-0.10 EPA/tgt
DJ Moore◄
0.12 EPA/tgt
Greg Dulcich
0.34 EPA/tgt
Dalton Kincaid◄
0.58 EPA/tgt
Good
7.4% sack rate
Good◄
7.5% sack rate
Jordan Phillips
0.2 disrupt/gm
Deone Walker◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Chop Robinson
no 2025 data
T.J. Sanders
no 2025 data
Jordyn Brooks◄
1.2 impact/gm
Greg Rousseau
0.7 impact/gm
Jason Marshall Jr.
0.3 cover/gm
Dee Alford◄
0.8 cover/gm
Dante Trader Jr.
0.2 cover/gm
Cole Bishop◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
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0.11 EPA/att
De'Von Achane
0.01 EPA/tch
James Cook III◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Malik Washington
-0.10 EPA/tgt
DJ Moore◄
0.12 EPA/tgt
Greg Dulcich
0.34 EPA/tgt
Dalton Kincaid◄
0.58 EPA/tgt
Good
7.4% sack rate
Good◄
7.5% sack rate
Jordan Phillips
0.2 disrupt/gm
Deone Walker◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Chop Robinson
no 2025 data
T.J. Sanders
no 2025 data
Jordyn Brooks◄
1.2 impact/gm
Greg Rousseau
0.7 impact/gm
Jason Marshall Jr.
0.3 cover/gm
Dee Alford◄
0.8 cover/gm
Dante Trader Jr.
0.2 cover/gm
Cole Bishop◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
JAX
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
PHI
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Balanced coverage · four-man rush
Trevor Lawrence
0.05 EPA/att
Jalen Hurts◄
0.05 EPA/att
Bhayshul Tuten◄
-0.03 EPA/tch
Saquon Barkley
-0.08 EPA/tch
Brian Thomas Jr.
0.14 EPA/tgt
DeVonta Smith◄
0.38 EPA/tgt
Brenton Strange◄
0.40 EPA/tgt
Dallas Goedert
0.36 EPA/tgt
Bad
6.8% sack rate
Average◄
6.6% sack rate
DaVon Hamilton
0.2 disrupt/gm
Average◄
no data
Josh Hines-Allen◄
1.0 press/gm
Jalen Carter
no 2025 data
Foyesade Oluokun
0.9 impact/gm
Zack Baun◄
1.0 impact/gm
Montaric Brown◄
0.7 cover/gm
Quinyon Mitchell
0.7 cover/gm
Antonio Johnson◄
0.8 cover/gm
Andrew Mukuba
0.4 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
LV
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
CIN
OFF Pass-heavy · shotgun spread · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Kirk Cousins
-0.00 EPA/att
Joe Burrow◄
0.08 EPA/att
Ashton Jeanty
-0.20 EPA/tch
Chase Brown◄
-0.04 EPA/tch
Tre Tucker
0.18 EPA/tgt
Ja'Marr Chase◄
0.19 EPA/tgt
Brock Bowers◄
0.22 EPA/tgt
Mike Gesicki
0.07 EPA/tgt
Bad
11.1% sack rate
Good◄
5.3% sack rate
Adam Butler
0.3 disrupt/gm
Dexter Lawrence II◄
0.3 disrupt/gm
Jonah Laulu◄
no 2025 data
Boye Mafe
0.2 press/gm
Quay Walker◄
0.9 impact/gm
Demetrius Knight Jr.
0.8 impact/gm
Eric Stokes
0.2 cover/gm
Dax Hill◄
0.5 cover/gm
Jeremy Chinn
0.3 cover/gm
Jordan Battle◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
DAL
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
ATL
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Dak Prescott◄
0.15 EPA/att
Michael Penix Jr.
0.01 EPA/att
Javonte Williams
-0.03 EPA/tch
Bijan Robinson◄
0.03 EPA/tch
CeeDee Lamb◄
0.20 EPA/tgt
Drake London
0.18 EPA/tgt
Jake Ferguson
0.16 EPA/tgt
Kyle Pitts Sr.◄
0.18 EPA/tgt
Elite◄
4.7% sack rate
Elite
4.6% sack rate
Otito Ogbonnia
0.3 disrupt/gm
Gervon Dexter Sr.◄
0.7 disrupt/gm
Quinnen Williams◄
no 2025 data
Brandon Dorlus
0.8 press/gm
Dee Winters◄
0.8 impact/gm
Divine Deablo
0.7 impact/gm
Cobie Durant◄
0.5 cover/gm
A.J. Terrell Jr.
0.5 cover/gm
Malik Hooker
0.2 cover/gm
Jessie Bates III◄
0.6 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
IND
OFF Balanced · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
MIN
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Daniel Jones◄
0.11 EPA/att
Kyler Murray
0.02 EPA/att
Jonathan Taylor◄
0.07 EPA/tch
Aaron Jones Sr.
-0.04 EPA/tch
Alec Pierce◄
0.49 EPA/tgt
Justin Jefferson
-0.08 EPA/tgt
Tyler Warren
0.12 EPA/tgt
T.J. Hockenson◄
0.17 EPA/tgt
Good◄
5.0% sack rate
Bad
11.0% sack rate
Grover Stewart
0.3 disrupt/gm
Caleb Banks◄
no 2025 data
Laiatu Latu◄
0.9 press/gm
Levi Drake Rodriguez
no 2025 data
Akeem Davis-Gaither
0.5 impact/gm
Eric Wilson◄
1.1 impact/gm
Sauce Gardner◄
0.5 cover/gm
Byron Murphy Jr.
0.4 cover/gm
Cam Bynum◄
0.7 cover/gm
Joshua Metellus
0.6 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
WAS
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
NYG
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Jayden Daniels
-0.01 EPA/att
Jaxson Dart◄
0.01 EPA/att
Jacory Croskey-Merritt◄
-0.02 EPA/tch
Cam Skattebo
-0.05 EPA/tch
Terry McLaurin◄
0.36 EPA/tgt
Malik Nabers
0.04 EPA/tgt
Chig Okonkwo◄
0.13 EPA/tgt
Isaiah Likely
0.10 EPA/tgt
Good◄
7.3% sack rate
Bad
8.4% sack rate
Daron Payne◄
0.6 disrupt/gm
DJ Reader
0.1 disrupt/gm
Tim Settle◄
no 2025 data
Shelby Harris
0.2 press/gm
Odafe Oweh
0.7 impact/gm
Brian Burns◄
1.8 impact/gm
Mike Sainristil◄
0.7 cover/gm
Dru Phillips
0.6 cover/gm
Nick Cross◄
0.5 cover/gm
Tyler Nubin
0.3 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
TB
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
KC
OFF Pass-heavy · shotgun spread · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Baker Mayfield
0.00 EPA/att
Patrick Mahomes◄
0.10 EPA/att
Bucky Irving
-0.10 EPA/tch
Kenneth Walker III◄
-0.02 EPA/tch
Emeka Egbuka
0.05 EPA/tgt
Rashee Rice◄
0.15 EPA/tgt
Cade Otton
0.03 EPA/tgt
Travis Kelce◄
0.32 EPA/tgt
Average◄
6.4% sack rate
Average
7.4% sack rate
Vita Vea◄
0.8 disrupt/gm
Khyiris Tonga
0.1 disrupt/gm
Calijah Kancey
no 2025 data
George Karlaftis
0.8 press/gm
Yaya Diaby◄
0.9 impact/gm
Drue Tranquill
0.7 impact/gm
Jacob Parrish◄
0.4 cover/gm
L'Jarius Sneed
0.2 cover/gm
Antoine Winfield Jr.◄
0.6 cover/gm
Alohi Gilman
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
LA
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
SEA
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Matthew Stafford◄
0.19 EPA/att
Sam Darnold
0.11 EPA/att
Kyren Williams◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Brady Russell
-0.01 EPA/tch
Puka Nacua◄
0.59 EPA/tgt
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
0.47 EPA/tgt
Colby Parkinson
0.17 EPA/tgt
AJ Barner◄
0.32 EPA/tgt
Elite◄
3.7% sack rate
Average
5.3% sack rate
Poona Ford
0.3 disrupt/gm
Byron Murphy II◄
0.8 disrupt/gm
Kobie Turner
0.6 press/gm
Leonard Williams◄
0.8 press/gm
Byron Young◄
1.1 impact/gm
DeMarcus Lawrence
0.8 impact/gm
Jaylen Watson
0.4 cover/gm
Josh Jobe◄
0.6 cover/gm
Kamren Kinchens◄
0.6 cover/gm
Ty Okada
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
NE
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
TEN
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Drake Maye◄
0.25 EPA/att
Cam Ward
-0.15 EPA/att
Rhamondre Stevenson◄
-0.02 EPA/tch
Tony Pollard
-0.10 EPA/tch
Romeo Doubs◄
0.30 EPA/tgt
Carnell Tate
no 2025 data
Hunter Henry◄
0.36 EPA/tgt
Gunnar Helm
0.05 EPA/tgt
Average◄
8.7% sack rate
Bad
8.9% sack rate
Cory Durden
0.2 disrupt/gm
Jeffery Simmons◄
1.5 disrupt/gm
Christian Barmore◄
no 2025 data
Jermaine Johnson II
0.3 press/gm
Dre'Mont Jones
0.6 impact/gm
Cody Barton◄
0.7 impact/gm
Carlton Davis III
0.4 cover/gm
Alontae Taylor◄
0.6 cover/gm
Craig Woodson
0.3 cover/gm
Amani Hooker◄
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
NO
OFF Pass-heavy · shotgun spread
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
CAR
OFF Balanced · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Tyler Shough◄
0.00 EPA/att
Bryce Young
-0.03 EPA/att
Travis Etienne Jr.◄
-0.03 EPA/tch
Chuba Hubbard
-0.05 EPA/tch
Chris Olave◄
0.19 EPA/tgt
Tetairoa McMillan
0.17 EPA/tgt
Juwan Johnson◄
0.29 EPA/tgt
Tommy Tremble
0.15 EPA/tgt
Bad
7.7% sack rate
Average◄
6.4% sack rate
Davon Godchaux
0.1 disrupt/gm
Lee Hunter◄
no 2025 data
Colby Wooden
0.2 press/gm
Derrick Brown◄
no 2025 data
Kaden Elliss◄
1.0 impact/gm
Bobby Okereke
0.7 impact/gm
Kool-Aid McKinstry
0.9 cover/gm
Mike Jackson◄
1.0 cover/gm
Justin Reid◄
0.5 cover/gm
Nick Scott
0.4 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
DEN
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Balanced coverage · blitz-heavy
BAL
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Bo Nix◄
0.08 EPA/att
Lamar Jackson
0.04 EPA/att
J.K. Dobbins
-0.00 EPA/tch
Derrick Henry◄
0.02 EPA/tch
Jaylen Waddle
0.27 EPA/tgt
Zay Flowers◄
0.32 EPA/tgt
Evan Engram◄
0.04 EPA/tgt
Mark Andrews
0.02 EPA/tgt
Elite◄
3.6% sack rate
Good
9.6% sack rate
D.J. Jones
0.4 disrupt/gm
Travis Jones◄
0.7 disrupt/gm
Zach Allen◄
1.1 press/gm
Calais Campbell
0.7 press/gm
Nik Bonitto◄
1.2 impact/gm
Roquan Smith
0.7 impact/gm
Riley Moss◄
0.8 cover/gm
Nate Wiggins
0.7 cover/gm
Talanoa Hufanga◄
0.7 cover/gm
Malaki Starks
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
LAC
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
CLE
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Justin Herbert
0.02 EPA/att
Deshaun Watson◄
no 2025 data
Omarion Hampton◄
-0.01 EPA/tch
Quinshon Judkins
-0.10 EPA/tch
Ladd McConkey◄
0.05 EPA/tgt
Jerry Jeudy
-0.24 EPA/tgt
Charlie Kolar◄
0.15 EPA/tgt
Harold Fannin Jr.
0.01 EPA/tgt
Bad◄
9.5% sack rate
Bad
8.4% sack rate
Dalvin Tomlinson
no 2025 data
Mason Graham◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Teair Tart
no 2025 data
Jared Verse◄
0.9 press/gm
Daiyan Henley
0.8 impact/gm
Carson Schwesinger◄
0.9 impact/gm
Cam Hart
0.5 cover/gm
Tyson Campbell◄
0.7 cover/gm
Derwin James Jr.◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grant Delpit
0.4 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
HOU
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
NYJ
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
C.J. Stroud◄
0.08 EPA/att
Geno Smith
-0.12 EPA/att
David Montgomery◄
0.02 EPA/tch
Breece Hall
-0.04 EPA/tch
Nico Collins◄
0.26 EPA/tgt
Garrett Wilson
-0.02 EPA/tgt
Dalton Schultz◄
0.29 EPA/tgt
Mason Taylor
0.12 EPA/tgt
Average◄
5.1% sack rate
Bad
10.8% sack rate
Tommy Togiai◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Harrison Phillips
0.2 disrupt/gm
Will Anderson Jr.◄
1.2 press/gm
Will McDonald IV
0.9 press/gm
Henry To'oTo'o
0.8 impact/gm
Jamien Sherwood◄
1.0 impact/gm
Kamari Lassiter◄
1.0 cover/gm
Nahshon Wright
0.8 cover/gm
Reed Blankenship
0.4 cover/gm
Dane Belton◄
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
CHI
OFF Balanced · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Balanced coverage · blitz-heavy
ARI
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Caleb Williams◄
0.06 EPA/att
Jacoby Brissett
-0.00 EPA/att
D'Andre Swift◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Jeremiyah Love
no 2025 data
Rome Odunze
0.18 EPA/tgt
Marvin Harrison Jr.◄
0.31 EPA/tgt
Colston Loveland◄
0.47 EPA/tgt
Trey McBride
0.39 EPA/tgt
Elite◄
4.0% sack rate
Bad
8.3% sack rate
Grady Jarrett
0.3 disrupt/gm
Roy Lopez◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Montez Sweat◄
0.9 press/gm
Josh Sweat
no 2025 data
Devin Bush◄
0.9 impact/gm
Jack Gibbens
0.7 impact/gm
Cam Lewis
0.2 cover/gm
Denzel Burke◄
0.7 cover/gm
Xavier Woods
0.4 cover/gm
Budda Baker◄
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
DET
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Balanced coverage · blitz-heavy
GB
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Jared Goff
0.14 EPA/att
Jordan Love◄
0.18 EPA/att
Jahmyr Gibbs◄
0.04 EPA/tch
MarShawn Lloyd
no 2025 data
Amon-Ra St. Brown
0.28 EPA/tgt
Christian Watson◄
0.38 EPA/tgt
Sam LaPorta
0.54 EPA/tgt
Tucker Kraft◄
0.62 EPA/tgt
Good◄
6.3% sack rate
Average
5.6% sack rate
Tyleik Williams
0.2 disrupt/gm
Javon Hargrave◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Aidan Hutchinson◄
1.3 press/gm
Karl Brooks
no 2025 data
Derrick Barnes◄
0.7 impact/gm
Edgerrin Cooper
0.6 impact/gm
D.J. Reed
0.5 cover/gm
Keisean Nixon◄
0.7 cover/gm
Chuck Clark
0.3 cover/gm
Evan Williams◄
0.6 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
Winner accuracy by grade, 1070 games. A high grade means a clearer mismatch — but the books know it too, so higher accuracy here does not mean a betting edge.
All validated trends · out-of-sample (2020–2026)
NFL · Members
The full board, confidence ratings, and daily plays — plus the complete track record. New plays every morning. The track record and featured picks above stay free.
NFL Pass
$9.99/mo
Just NFL
All-AccessBest value
$29.99/mo
All 5 sports
Secure checkout via Stripe. Cancel anytime. 21+. Bet responsibly.
