We simulate every NFL game on opponent-adjusted net EPA — offense and defense on both sides set the projected margin, scoring rates set the total — then post only the handful we have the most conviction in. Every posted game gets a grade and a projected score, and every one is graded against the real result.
Graded games
75.9%
the games we post · B+ or better
Full slate
62.5%
every game · n=1070
Market
67.4%
closing line · it’s better
Margin error
10.5
points, full slate
Accuracy is measured against the actual final score — did we pick the winner, and how many points off was the margin — not against the betting line. Across 2019–2025 the simulator calls 62.5% of all games straight up. The market’s closing line calls 67.4% — the NFL is the most efficient market in sports, so the full slate is worse than the market and we say so. It is a prediction tool, not a betting edge: it does not beat the spread. Analysis and entertainment, 21+, 1-800-GAMBLER.
Board went 3-0 · full slate 9-6 straight up
Our 3 highest-conviction calls out of 15 games this week. We post at most 6, and nothing below a B+ — a thin week posts fewer rather than padding the board.
NYG
BUF
14
31
Offense
BUF
Defense
BUF
Called it ✓
NYG
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
BUF
OFF Run-heavy · under-center
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Every game we simulated this week, highest conviction first. The board above is only the ones that cleared B+— here’s the whole week so nothing’s hidden.
NYG
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
BUF
OFF Run-heavy · under-center
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Jaxson Dart
0.01 EPA/att
Josh Allen
The grade is our conviction in our own call — how big the projected margin is. Here is how each grade actually performed across 2019–2025:
Net EPA — opponent-adjusted expected points added on offense and defense, both sides of the ball — sets the projected margin. Scoring rates set the total. Ratings are computed as of that week’s kickoff, using only games already played, so nothing is graded with hindsight. Early in the season a team carries its prior-year rating until it has enough games to stand on its own.
It does not beat the spread. The NFL market is the sharpest in sports. We publish this because the projection and the matchup are interesting and we grade ourselves honestly against the real score — not because it prints money.
Also on our board
Separate from the simulator: situational trends mined from 1999–2026 seasons and validated out-of-sample. Only the ones that actually hold up.
The Sizzlin NFL Simulator is analysis and entertainment — not betting advice or a guaranteed outcome. 21+. 1-800-GAMBLER.
Jaxson Dart
0.01 EPA/att
Josh Allen◄
0.11 EPA/att
Cam Skattebo
-0.05 EPA/tch
James Cook III◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Malik Nabers
0.04 EPA/tgt
DJ Moore◄
0.12 EPA/tgt
Isaiah Likely
0.10 EPA/tgt
Dalton Kincaid◄
0.58 EPA/tgt
Bad
8.4% sack rate
Good◄
7.5% sack rate
DJ Reader
0.1 disrupt/gm
Deone Walker◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Shelby Harris
0.2 press/gm
T.J. Sanders◄
no 2025 data
Brian Burns◄
1.8 impact/gm
Greg Rousseau
0.7 impact/gm
Dru Phillips
0.6 cover/gm
Dee Alford◄
0.8 cover/gm
Tyler Nubin
0.3 cover/gm
Cole Bishop◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
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0.11 EPA/att
Cam Skattebo
-0.05 EPA/tch
James Cook III◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Malik Nabers
0.04 EPA/tgt
DJ Moore◄
0.12 EPA/tgt
Isaiah Likely
0.10 EPA/tgt
Dalton Kincaid◄
0.58 EPA/tgt
Bad
8.4% sack rate
Good◄
7.5% sack rate
DJ Reader
0.1 disrupt/gm
Deone Walker◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Shelby Harris
0.2 press/gm
T.J. Sanders◄
no 2025 data
Brian Burns◄
1.8 impact/gm
Greg Rousseau
0.7 impact/gm
Dru Phillips
0.6 cover/gm
Dee Alford◄
0.8 cover/gm
Tyler Nubin
0.3 cover/gm
Cole Bishop◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
CAR
OFF Balanced · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
MIA
OFF Run-heavy · under-center
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Bryce Young
-0.03 EPA/att
Malik Willis◄
0.13 EPA/att
Chuba Hubbard
-0.05 EPA/tch
De'Von Achane◄
0.01 EPA/tch
Tetairoa McMillan◄
0.17 EPA/tgt
Malik Washington
-0.10 EPA/tgt
Tommy Tremble
0.15 EPA/tgt
Greg Dulcich◄
0.34 EPA/tgt
Average
6.4% sack rate
Good◄
7.4% sack rate
Lee Hunter◄
no 2025 data
Jordan Phillips
0.2 disrupt/gm
Derrick Brown
no 2025 data
Chop Robinson
no 2025 data
Bobby Okereke
0.7 impact/gm
Jordyn Brooks◄
1.2 impact/gm
Mike Jackson◄
1.0 cover/gm
Jason Marshall Jr.
0.3 cover/gm
Nick Scott◄
0.4 cover/gm
Dante Trader Jr.
0.2 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
DEN
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Balanced coverage · blitz-heavy
KC
OFF Pass-heavy · shotgun spread · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Bo Nix
0.08 EPA/att
Patrick Mahomes◄
0.10 EPA/att
J.K. Dobbins◄
-0.00 EPA/tch
Kenneth Walker III
-0.02 EPA/tch
Jaylen Waddle◄
0.27 EPA/tgt
Rashee Rice
0.15 EPA/tgt
Evan Engram
0.04 EPA/tgt
Travis Kelce◄
0.32 EPA/tgt
Elite◄
3.6% sack rate
Average
7.4% sack rate
D.J. Jones◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Khyiris Tonga
0.1 disrupt/gm
Zach Allen◄
1.1 press/gm
George Karlaftis
0.8 press/gm
Nik Bonitto◄
1.2 impact/gm
Drue Tranquill
0.7 impact/gm
Riley Moss◄
0.8 cover/gm
L'Jarius Sneed
0.2 cover/gm
Talanoa Hufanga◄
0.7 cover/gm
Alohi Gilman
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
ARI
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
LA
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Jacoby Brissett
-0.00 EPA/att
Matthew Stafford◄
0.19 EPA/att
Jeremiyah Love
no 2025 data
Kyren Williams◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Marvin Harrison Jr.
0.31 EPA/tgt
Puka Nacua◄
0.59 EPA/tgt
Trey McBride◄
0.39 EPA/tgt
Colby Parkinson
0.17 EPA/tgt
Bad
8.3% sack rate
Elite◄
3.7% sack rate
Roy Lopez◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Poona Ford
0.3 disrupt/gm
Josh Sweat◄
no 2025 data
Kobie Turner
0.6 press/gm
Jack Gibbens
0.7 impact/gm
Byron Young◄
1.1 impact/gm
Denzel Burke◄
0.7 cover/gm
Jaylen Watson
0.4 cover/gm
Budda Baker
0.5 cover/gm
Kamren Kinchens◄
0.6 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
BAL
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
TEN
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Lamar Jackson◄
0.04 EPA/att
Cam Ward
-0.15 EPA/att
Derrick Henry◄
0.02 EPA/tch
Tony Pollard
-0.10 EPA/tch
Zay Flowers◄
0.32 EPA/tgt
Carnell Tate
no 2025 data
Mark Andrews
0.02 EPA/tgt
Gunnar Helm◄
0.05 EPA/tgt
Good◄
9.6% sack rate
Bad
8.9% sack rate
Travis Jones
0.7 disrupt/gm
Jeffery Simmons◄
1.5 disrupt/gm
Calais Campbell◄
0.7 press/gm
Jermaine Johnson II
0.3 press/gm
Roquan Smith
0.7 impact/gm
Cody Barton◄
0.7 impact/gm
Nate Wiggins◄
0.7 cover/gm
Alontae Taylor
0.6 cover/gm
Malaki Starks
0.5 cover/gm
Amani Hooker◄
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
WAS
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
ATL
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Jayden Daniels
-0.01 EPA/att
Michael Penix Jr.◄
0.01 EPA/att
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
-0.02 EPA/tch
Bijan Robinson◄
0.03 EPA/tch
Terry McLaurin◄
0.36 EPA/tgt
Drake London
0.18 EPA/tgt
Chig Okonkwo
0.13 EPA/tgt
Kyle Pitts Sr.◄
0.18 EPA/tgt
Good
7.3% sack rate
Elite◄
4.6% sack rate
Daron Payne
0.6 disrupt/gm
Gervon Dexter Sr.◄
0.7 disrupt/gm
Tim Settle◄
no 2025 data
Brandon Dorlus
0.8 press/gm
Odafe Oweh
0.7 impact/gm
Divine Deablo◄
0.7 impact/gm
Mike Sainristil◄
0.7 cover/gm
A.J. Terrell Jr.
0.5 cover/gm
Nick Cross
0.5 cover/gm
Jessie Bates III◄
0.6 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
SF
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
CLE
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Brock Purdy◄
0.13 EPA/att
Deshaun Watson
no 2025 data
Christian McCaffrey◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Quinshon Judkins
-0.10 EPA/tch
Mike Evans◄
0.06 EPA/tgt
Jerry Jeudy
-0.24 EPA/tgt
George Kittle◄
0.53 EPA/tgt
Harold Fannin Jr.
0.01 EPA/tgt
Average◄
4.5% sack rate
Bad
8.4% sack rate
Osa Odighizuwa◄
0.8 disrupt/gm
Mason Graham
0.4 disrupt/gm
Keion White
0.2 press/gm
Jared Verse◄
0.9 press/gm
Luke Gifford
0.1 impact/gm
Carson Schwesinger◄
0.9 impact/gm
Deommodore Lenoir
0.3 cover/gm
Tyson Campbell◄
0.7 cover/gm
Ji'Ayir Brown◄
0.5 cover/gm
Grant Delpit
0.4 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
NE
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
LV
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Drake Maye◄
0.25 EPA/att
Kirk Cousins
-0.00 EPA/att
Rhamondre Stevenson◄
-0.02 EPA/tch
Ashton Jeanty
-0.20 EPA/tch
Romeo Doubs◄
0.30 EPA/tgt
Tre Tucker
0.18 EPA/tgt
Hunter Henry◄
0.36 EPA/tgt
Brock Bowers
0.22 EPA/tgt
Average◄
8.7% sack rate
Bad
11.1% sack rate
Cory Durden
0.2 disrupt/gm
Adam Butler◄
0.3 disrupt/gm
Christian Barmore
no 2025 data
Jonah Laulu
no 2025 data
Dre'Mont Jones
0.6 impact/gm
Quay Walker◄
0.9 impact/gm
Carlton Davis III◄
0.4 cover/gm
Eric Stokes
0.2 cover/gm
Craig Woodson
0.3 cover/gm
Jeremy Chinn◄
0.3 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
SEA
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
CIN
OFF Pass-heavy · shotgun spread · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Sam Darnold◄
0.11 EPA/att
Joe Burrow
0.08 EPA/att
Brady Russell◄
-0.01 EPA/tch
Chase Brown
-0.04 EPA/tch
Jaxon Smith-Njigba◄
0.47 EPA/tgt
Ja'Marr Chase
0.19 EPA/tgt
AJ Barner◄
0.32 EPA/tgt
Mike Gesicki
0.07 EPA/tgt
Average
5.3% sack rate
Good◄
5.3% sack rate
Byron Murphy II◄
0.8 disrupt/gm
Dexter Lawrence II
0.3 disrupt/gm
Leonard Williams◄
0.8 press/gm
Boye Mafe
0.2 press/gm
DeMarcus Lawrence
0.8 impact/gm
Demetrius Knight Jr.◄
0.8 impact/gm
Josh Jobe◄
0.6 cover/gm
Dax Hill
0.5 cover/gm
Ty Okada
0.5 cover/gm
Jordan Battle◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
PHI
OFF Run-heavy · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Balanced coverage · four-man rush
NYJ
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Jalen Hurts◄
0.05 EPA/att
Geno Smith
-0.12 EPA/att
Saquon Barkley
-0.08 EPA/tch
Breece Hall◄
-0.04 EPA/tch
DeVonta Smith◄
0.38 EPA/tgt
Garrett Wilson
-0.02 EPA/tgt
Dallas Goedert◄
0.36 EPA/tgt
Mason Taylor
0.12 EPA/tgt
Average◄
6.6% sack rate
Bad
10.8% sack rate
Average◄
no data
Harrison Phillips
0.2 disrupt/gm
Jalen Carter
no 2025 data
Will McDonald IV◄
0.9 press/gm
Zack Baun
1.0 impact/gm
Jamien Sherwood◄
1.0 impact/gm
Quinyon Mitchell
0.7 cover/gm
Nahshon Wright◄
0.8 cover/gm
Andrew Mukuba
0.4 cover/gm
Dane Belton◄
0.5 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
DET
OFF Run-heavy · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Balanced coverage · blitz-heavy
TB
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
Jared Goff◄
0.14 EPA/att
Baker Mayfield
0.00 EPA/att
Jahmyr Gibbs◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Bucky Irving
-0.10 EPA/tch
Amon-Ra St. Brown◄
0.28 EPA/tgt
Emeka Egbuka
0.05 EPA/tgt
Sam LaPorta◄
0.54 EPA/tgt
Cade Otton
0.03 EPA/tgt
Good◄
6.3% sack rate
Average
6.4% sack rate
Tyleik Williams
0.2 disrupt/gm
Vita Vea◄
0.8 disrupt/gm
Aidan Hutchinson◄
1.3 press/gm
Calijah Kancey
no 2025 data
Derrick Barnes
0.7 impact/gm
Yaya Diaby◄
0.9 impact/gm
D.J. Reed◄
0.5 cover/gm
Jacob Parrish
0.4 cover/gm
Chuck Clark
0.3 cover/gm
Antoine Winfield Jr.◄
0.6 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
IND
OFF Balanced · mixed sets · heavy personnel
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
JAX
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
Daniel Jones◄
0.11 EPA/att
Trevor Lawrence
0.05 EPA/att
Jonathan Taylor◄
0.07 EPA/tch
Bhayshul Tuten
-0.03 EPA/tch
Alec Pierce◄
0.49 EPA/tgt
Brian Thomas Jr.
0.14 EPA/tgt
Tyler Warren
0.12 EPA/tgt
Brenton Strange◄
0.40 EPA/tgt
Good◄
5.0% sack rate
Bad
6.8% sack rate
Grover Stewart◄
0.3 disrupt/gm
DaVon Hamilton
0.2 disrupt/gm
Laiatu Latu
0.9 press/gm
Josh Hines-Allen◄
1.0 press/gm
Akeem Davis-Gaither
0.5 impact/gm
Foyesade Oluokun◄
0.9 impact/gm
Sauce Gardner
0.5 cover/gm
Montaric Brown◄
0.7 cover/gm
Cam Bynum
0.7 cover/gm
Antonio Johnson◄
0.8 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
MIN
OFF Balanced · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · blitz-heavy
CHI
OFF Balanced · under-center · heavy personnel
DEF Balanced coverage · blitz-heavy
Kyler Murray
0.02 EPA/att
Caleb Williams◄
0.06 EPA/att
Aaron Jones Sr.
-0.04 EPA/tch
D'Andre Swift◄
0.04 EPA/tch
Justin Jefferson
-0.08 EPA/tgt
Rome Odunze◄
0.18 EPA/tgt
T.J. Hockenson
0.17 EPA/tgt
Colston Loveland◄
0.47 EPA/tgt
Bad
11.0% sack rate
Elite◄
4.0% sack rate
Caleb Banks◄
no 2025 data
Grady Jarrett
0.3 disrupt/gm
Levi Drake Rodriguez
no 2025 data
Montez Sweat◄
0.9 press/gm
Eric Wilson◄
1.1 impact/gm
Devin Bush
0.9 impact/gm
Byron Murphy Jr.◄
0.4 cover/gm
Cam Lewis
0.2 cover/gm
Joshua Metellus◄
0.6 cover/gm
Xavier Woods
0.4 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
DAL
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
LAC
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Dak Prescott◄
0.15 EPA/att
Justin Herbert
0.02 EPA/att
Javonte Williams
-0.03 EPA/tch
Omarion Hampton◄
-0.01 EPA/tch
CeeDee Lamb◄
0.20 EPA/tgt
Ladd McConkey
0.05 EPA/tgt
Jake Ferguson◄
0.16 EPA/tgt
Charlie Kolar
0.15 EPA/tgt
Elite◄
4.7% sack rate
Bad
9.5% sack rate
Otito Ogbonnia
0.3 disrupt/gm
Dalvin Tomlinson◄
no 2025 data
Quinnen Williams
no 2025 data
Teair Tart
no 2025 data
Dee Winters◄
0.8 impact/gm
Daiyan Henley
0.8 impact/gm
Cobie Durant
0.5 cover/gm
Cam Hart◄
0.5 cover/gm
Malik Hooker
0.2 cover/gm
Derwin James Jr.◄
0.7 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
NO
OFF Pass-heavy · shotgun spread
DEF Zone-heavy · moderate pressure
HOU
OFF Pass-heavy · mixed sets
DEF Zone-heavy · four-man rush
Tyler Shough
0.00 EPA/att
C.J. Stroud◄
0.08 EPA/att
Travis Etienne Jr.
-0.03 EPA/tch
David Montgomery◄
0.02 EPA/tch
Chris Olave
0.19 EPA/tgt
Nico Collins◄
0.26 EPA/tgt
Juwan Johnson
0.29 EPA/tgt
Dalton Schultz◄
0.29 EPA/tgt
Bad
7.7% sack rate
Average◄
5.1% sack rate
Davon Godchaux
0.1 disrupt/gm
Tommy Togiai◄
0.4 disrupt/gm
Colby Wooden
0.2 press/gm
Will Anderson Jr.◄
1.2 press/gm
Kaden Elliss◄
1.0 impact/gm
Henry To'oTo'o
0.8 impact/gm
Kool-Aid McKinstry
0.9 cover/gm
Kamari Lassiter◄
1.0 cover/gm
Justin Reid◄
0.5 cover/gm
Reed Blankenship
0.4 cover/gm
Grades are percentiles against the league last season (2025). QB/RB/WR/TE grade the team’s primary starter on his own EPA production; the six marked unit have no public per-player data, so they grade the unit’s production (pass rush, coverage, sack rate) rather than individuals. Not PFF grades.
Winner accuracy by grade, 1070 games. A high grade means a clearer mismatch — but the books know it too, so higher accuracy here does not mean a betting edge.
All validated trends · out-of-sample (2020–2026)
NFL · Members
The full board, confidence ratings, and daily plays — plus the complete track record. New plays every morning. The track record and featured picks above stay free.
NFL Pass
$9.99/mo
Just NFL
All-AccessBest value
$29.99/mo
All 5 sports
Secure checkout via Stripe. Cancel anytime. 21+. Bet responsibly.
